However, upon further inspection the American Research Group (ARG) polls shows little movement, if any, among the major contenders from December (before any of the major announcements) to January(post-annoucements):
January numbers:
Clinton 35%
Edwards 18%
Obama 14%
Vilsack 12%
In December, the numbers looked as follows:
Clinton 31%
Edwards 20%
Obama 10%
Vilsack 17%
The margin of error in the latest poll is +/-4%.
The biggest 'mover' in the poll, on a percentage basis, was "Undecided", which jumped from 8% to 13% (an increase of 63%). Perhaps "likely Iowan caucus goers" realize that there's still a year to go before caucusing commences.
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