Showing posts with label Vilsack. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Vilsack. Show all posts
Friday, February 23, 2007
Vilsack's Out
Former Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack is apparently dropping out of the Presidential race this morning. Much like Senator Evan Bayh, who dropped out just days after declaring, the surprise is that these candidates, having geared up for years to prepare themselves for what is a long slog, can determine in a matter of days or weeks that it's not going to happen. The days of Jimmy Carter meeting individual Iowa caucus-goers ahead of the national press are certainly a distant memory; perhaps a true national primary is now upon us.
Monday, February 5, 2007
Post-Announcment Iowa
Drudge is reporting that Hillary has "Jumped a to 17-Point Lead Over Edwards In Iowa Poll."
However, upon further inspection the American Research Group (ARG) polls shows little movement, if any, among the major contenders from December (before any of the major announcements) to January(post-annoucements):
The margin of error in the latest poll is +/-4%.
The biggest 'mover' in the poll, on a percentage basis, was "Undecided", which jumped from 8% to 13% (an increase of 63%). Perhaps "likely Iowan caucus goers" realize that there's still a year to go before caucusing commences.
However, upon further inspection the American Research Group (ARG) polls shows little movement, if any, among the major contenders from December (before any of the major announcements) to January(post-annoucements):
January numbers:
Clinton 35%
Edwards 18%
Obama 14%
Vilsack 12%
In December, the numbers looked as follows:
Clinton 31%
Edwards 20%
Obama 10%
Vilsack 17%
The margin of error in the latest poll is +/-4%.
The biggest 'mover' in the poll, on a percentage basis, was "Undecided", which jumped from 8% to 13% (an increase of 63%). Perhaps "likely Iowan caucus goers" realize that there's still a year to go before caucusing commences.
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